质点-网格海冰模式在渤海的数值预报试验     

刘煜  白珊  刘钦政  吴辉碇 《海洋预报》2005,22(Z1):35-43

在海冰动力学和热力学的研究基础上,开发应用于渤海的质点-网格海冰模式.该模式采用质点-网格法,有效地避免了传统海冰模式的数值扩散问题.该模式采用冰厚分布函数取代传统渤海业务海冰预报模式中平整冰、堆积冰和开阔水的三类海冰分型.应用质点-网格海冰模式对2003年～2004年冬季渤海冰情进行了业务化逐日数值预报试验,并对预报结果进行统计检验和分析比较.  相似文献   

隶属函数的方法进行等级预报及隶属函数的构造     

毛祖松 《海洋预报》2003,20(2):74-78

模糊数学在气象、水文预报领域中已经得到广泛的应用。其中，用隶属函数的方法作预报对象的多等级长期预报，能取得较好的效果。本文简要介绍用隶属函数的方法进行长期多等级预报的基本思路和步骤，重点介绍在作上述预报过程中，构造隶属函数的一种方法。  相似文献   

Interannual to diurnal variability in the near-surface scattering layer in Drake Passage     

Chereskin  T. K.; Tarling  G. A. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2007,64(9):1617-1626

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MM5数值预报产品在舟山海域风力分区预报中的释用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

黄辉  陈淑琴 《海洋预报》2006,23(2):67-71

本文阐述了舟山海域地理气候特征及开展舟山海域风力分区预报的重要性,详细介绍了利用海岛测风站资料研究的MM5数值预报产品在舟山海域风力分区预报中的释用技术,实践证明该释用技术能为风力分区预报提供重要的技术支撑,并为研究同类数值预报产品释用技术提供重要的参考依据。  相似文献   

Determining the age of water and long-term transport timescale of the Chesapeake Bay   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

Jian Shen  Harry V. Wang 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2007,74(4):585-598

The concept of age of water (AW) is applied to the Chesapeake Bay to investigate the long-term transport properties for dissolved substances. A real-time calibrated hydrodynamic Chesapeake Bay model in 3 Dimensions (CH3D), employing a boundary-fitted curvilinear grid, is used for the study. The long-term transport properties, represented by AW, are investigated under the conditions of low river inflow of 1995 and high river inflow of 1996, as well as for constant mean inflows. The influences of freshwater, density-induced circulation, and wind-induced transport on age distribution have been investigated. Model results show that river inflows, wind stress, and density-induced circulation play important roles in controlling the long-term transport in the Bay. The model results shows that it requires 120–300 days for a marked change in the characteristics of the pollutant source discharged into the Bay from the Susquehanna River to affect significantly the conditions near the mouth under different hydrodynamic conditions. An increase of river discharge results in increases of downstream residual current and gravitational circulation, and thus reduces AW. The density-induced circulation contributes to the transport substantially. The dissolved substances discharged into the Bay are transported out of the Bay more rapidly when the estuary becomes more stratified. Southeasterly and southwesterly winds have strong impacts on the transport compared to the northeasterly and northwesterly winds. The former increases lateral and vertical mixing significantly. Consequently, the gravitational circulation is reduced and the transport time is increased by 50%. The model results provide useful information for understanding the long-term transport processes in the Bay.  相似文献   

Long-term changes in summer phytoplankton communities of the open northern Baltic Sea   总被引：16，自引：0，他引：16  

Sanna Suikkanen  Maria Laamanen  Maija Huttunen 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2007,71(3-4):580-592

Changes in the biomass and species composition of phytoplankton may reflect major shifts in environmental conditions. We investigated relationships between the late summer biomass of different phytoplankton taxa and environmental factors, and their long-term (1979–2003) trends in two areas of the Baltic Sea, the northern Baltic proper (NBP) and the Gulf of Finland (GF), with statistical analyses. An increasing trend was found in late summer temperature and chlorophyll a of the surface water layer (0–10 m) in both areas. There was also a significant decrease in summer salinity and an increase in winter dissolved inorganic nitrogen to phosphorus (DIN:DIP) ratio in the NBP, as well as increases in winter DIN concentrations and DIN:SiO₄ ratio in the GF. Simultaneously, the biomass of chrysophytes and chlorophytes increased in both areas. In the NBP, also the biomass of dinophytes increased and that of euglenophytes decreased, whereas in the GF, cyanobacteria increased and cryptophytes decreased. Redundancy analysis (RDA) indicated that summer temperature and winter DIN concentration were the most important factors with respect to changes in the phytoplankton community structure. Thus, the phytoplankton communities seem to reflect both hydrographic changes and the ongoing eutrophication process in the northern Baltic Sea.  相似文献   

Water mass formation variability in the intermediate layer of the east sea     

Hong Sik Min  Cheol -Ho Kim 《Ocean Science Journal》2006,41(4):255-260

Long-term variability in the intermediate layer of the eastern Japan Basin has been investigated to understand the variability of water mass formation in the East Sea. The simultaneous decrease of temperature at shallower depths and oxygen increasing at deeper depths in the intermediate layer took place in the late 1960’s and the mid-1980’s. Records of winter sea surface temperatures and air temperatures showed that there were cold winters that persisted for several years during those periods. Therefore, it was assumed that a large amount of newly-formed water was supplied to the intermediate layer during those cold winters. Close analysis suggests that the formation of the Upper Portion of Proper Water occurred in the late 1960’s and the Central Water in the mid-1980’s.  相似文献   

砂质海岸岸滩侵蚀演变模式探讨——以山东南部海岸侵蚀岸段的岸滩演变为例   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

包四林虞志英  刘苍字张国安 《海洋工程》2003,21(3):94-99

在分析山东南部海岸几十年来的地形观测资料的基础上，运用砂质海岸等深线变化预测理论，建立该区的岸滩侵蚀演变预测模型，研究了该区域岸滩演变规律。实测资料验证表明：预测结果合理，基本反映了本区岸滩演变的特征。  相似文献   

Anomalous change of the Antarctic sea ice and global sea level change   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Xie Simei  Zou Bing  Wang Yi  Bao Chenglan 《海洋学报(英文版)》1996,15(2):193-208

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Effects of an area closed to fisheries on the composition of the benthic fauna in the southern North Sea     

Duineveld  Gerard C. A.; Bergman  Magda J. N.; Lavaleye  Marc S. S. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2007,64(5):899-908

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